#2Kylen Evans

WR·Texas State·2025

Kylen Evans is a Versatile WR for Texas State.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kylen Evans's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

15 Receptions211 Rec yards1 Rec TD14.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume13
Explosiveness47
Consistency58
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency58th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.63 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.63 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Arkansas State (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2020	39	0.320	0.4	12.5
Nick Nash	San José State	2021	45	0.310	0.5	14.0
Cade Harris	Air Force	2024	45	0.330	0.5	14.8
Ainias Smith	Texas A&M	2020	55	0.310	0.5	17.0
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2021	41	0.370	0.6	15.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsEastern Michigan	W52-27	-14.7	1	13	13.0	0	13	0.28
2	@UTSA	W43-36	3.7	1	7	7.0	0	7	-0.10
3	@Arizona State	L15-34	3.9	4	24	6.0	1	11	-0.03
4	vsNicholls	W35-3	—	4	88	22.0	0	45	0.47
6	@Arkansas State	L30-31	-8.8	1	13	13.0	0	13	1.63
7	vsTroy	L41-48	-4.8	3	37	12.3	0	21	1.25
8	@Marshall	L37-40	-4.5	—	—	—	—	—	-0.44
10	vsJames Madison	L20-52	12.3	1	29	29.0	0	29	0.69

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

4.7%

Passing plays

11.5%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

4.8%

Passing downs

4.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.78
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.32 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).