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Kamari Moulton

#28Kamari Moulton

RB·Iowa·2026

Kamari Moulton is a Pass-Catching Back for Iowa. Kamari's 2026 season produced 13.0 total EPA across 31 plays.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

23%
projected
band 16%'25 29%30%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kamari Moulton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
240 Rush yards2 Rush TD26 Carries9.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
6 Receptions31 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.2 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

7
Targets
-0.6y
Avg depth
5.8y
After catch
86%
Catch rate

The ball travels -0.6 yards in the air on an average target 9.5 yards shorter than the median. Another 5.8 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
0
short
3
67% · 4y
1
100% · 9y
3
100% · 18y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency98
  • Volume66
  • Explosiveness100
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving80
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Peak game: 1.25 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Northern Illinois (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.2501.25Wk 1 vs Northern Illinois: +1.25 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Iowa State: +0.07 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsNorthern IllinoisW40-0-22.31118316.621.25
2vsIowa StateW16-133.115573.8063100.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
23.0%
Passing plays
10.1%
Rushing plays
37.3%
Standard downs
27.6%
Passing downs
12.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.43
Passing downs
0.37
Pass / Rush EPA
0.31 / 0.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.