Skip to content
Kaedin Robinson
Kaedin Robinson

#2Kaedin Robinson

WR·App State·2024

Kaedin Robinson is a Versatile WR for App State. Kaedin's 2024 season produced 49.4 total EPA across 41 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kaedin Robinson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
53 Receptions840 Rec yards2 Rec TD15.8 Yards/rec
Returns
3 Punt returns36 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume25
  • Explosiveness59
  • Consistency88
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency88th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.75 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.11 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Old Dominion (SP+ -6).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.110−2.11Wk 3 vs East Carolina: +0.94 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs South Alabama: +0.66 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Marshall: +0.96 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Louisiana: +1.80 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Georgia State: +0.92 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Old Dominion: +2.11 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Coastal Carolina: +1.35 EPA/play11
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsEast Tennessee StateW38-10—810312.9047—
2@ClemsonL20-6613.335819.3029—
3@East CarolinaW21-19-1.0712918.40310.94
4vsSouth AlabamaL14-482.868514.20490.66
6@MarshallL37-523.189411.80190.96
7@LouisianaL24-344.879613.70221.80
9vsGeorgia StateW33-26-17.9512124.20500.92
10vsOld DominionW28-20-6.047819.51462.11
11@Coastal CarolinaL24-38-6.957615.21361.35

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.8%
Passing plays
16.4%
Rushing plays
0.4%
Standard downs
8.5%
Passing downs
9.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.58
Passing downs
2.18
Pass / Rush EPA
1.34 / -4.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Kaedin Robinson Stats, EPA & Player Profile — App State · Gridpex