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Justyn Martin

#16Justyn Martin

QB·UCLA·2024

Justyn Martin is a Clutch Passer for UCLA. Justyn's 2024 season produced 1.2 total EPA across 33 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Justyn Martin's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing
24/35 Comp/Att179 Pass yards1 Pass TD0 INT68.6% Comp %
Rushing
-9 Rush yards0 Rush TD8 Carries-1.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume77
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency0
  • Clutch58
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.5300.53Wk 3 vs Indiana: +0.04 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Oregon: -0.53 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Penn State: +0.23 EPA/play6
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
3vsIndianaL13-4220.11/150068.90.04
5vsOregonL13-3426.01/47007.100-0.53
6@Penn StateL11-2724.622/301671082.6-900.23

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
27.1%
Passing plays
41.7%
Rushing plays
9.9%
Standard downs
23.8%
Passing downs
34.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.00
Passing downs
0.09
Pass / Rush EPA
0.09 / -0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.