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Justice Haynes

#22Justice Haynes

Justice Haynes is a Featured Back for Georgia Tech. Justice's 2026 season produced 5.3 total EPA across 39 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Justice Haynes's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
145 Rush yards1 Rush TD33 Carries4.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
7 Receptions40 Rec yards1 Rec TD5.7 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

7
Targets
0.7y
Avg depth
5.0y
After catch
100%
Catch rate

The ball travels 0.7 yards in the air on an average target 8.2 yards shorter than the median. Another 5.0 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
0
short
5
100% · 23y
1
100% · -2y
1
100% · 19y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume89
  • Explosiveness28
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving59
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Tennessee (SP+ 20).

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.4000.40Wk 1 vs Colorado: -0.12 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tennessee: +0.40 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsColoradoL13-142.119643.40140-0.12
2vsTennesseeL24-4519.914815.8163610.40

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
31.0%
Passing plays
10.0%
Rushing plays
59.3%
Standard downs
36.1%
Passing downs
20.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.16
Passing downs
0.06
Pass / Rush EPA
0.52 / 0.05

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.680−0.01
EPA per play · 2025 · 7 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.