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Justice Haynes

#22Justice Haynes

Justice Haynes is a Featured Back for Georgia Tech. Justice's 2026 season produced 5.3 total EPA across 39 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Justice Haynes's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
145 Rush yards1 Rush TD33 Carries4.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
7 Receptions40 Rec yards1 Rec TD5.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume89
  • Explosiveness28
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving59
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Tennessee (SP+ 20).

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.4000.40Wk 1 vs Colorado: -0.12 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tennessee: +0.40 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsColoradoL13-142.119643.40140-0.12
2vsTennesseeL24-4519.914815.8163610.40

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
31.0%
Passing plays
10.0%
Rushing plays
59.3%
Standard downs
36.1%
Passing downs
20.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.16
Passing downs
0.06
Pass / Rush EPA
0.52 / 0.05

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.680−0.01
EPA per play · 2025 · 7 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.