#4Jalon Jones

QB·Charlotte·2023

Jalon Jones is a Dual-Threat QB for Charlotte. Jalon's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 209 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalon Jones's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

67/109 Comp/Att646 Pass yards2 Pass TD4 INT61.5% Comp %

Rushing

476 Rush yards4 Rush TD110 Carries4.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume93
Dual-Threat84
Consistency0
Clutch48

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.28 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Georgia State (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouth Carolina State	W24-3	—	13/19	125	1	2	31.5	49	1	0.32
2	@Maryland	L20-38	11.0	8/15	116	1	1	27.3	67	0	0.07
3	vsGeorgia State	L25-41	-6.8	3/7	11	0	0	73.1	80	1	0.55
4	@Florida	L7-22	6.8	11/16	111	0	0	49.8	66	1	-0.01
5	@SMU	L16-34	10.1	9/15	57	0	0	36.3	55	0	-0.04
7	vsNavy	L0-14	-13.7	—	—	—	—	—	3	0	-0.25
8	@East Carolina	W10-7	-12.8	11/18	144	0	1	47.1	127	1	0.35
9	vsFlorida Atlantic	L16-38	-9.4	9/14	59	0	0	67.0	38	0	0.23
11	vsMemphis	L38-44	3.5	0/1	0	0	0	0.6	3	0	-0.41
12	vsRice	L7-28	-10.2	3/4	23	0	0	2.2	-12	0	-0.44

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

32.6%

Passing plays

41.2%

Rushing plays

26.8%

Standard downs

27.9%

Passing downs

41.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.13
Passing downs: 0.17
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.00 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).