#12Jack Lausch

QB·Northwestern·2024

Jack Lausch is a Dual-Threat QB for Northwestern. Jack's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 350 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jack Lausch's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

159/296 Comp/Att1714 Pass yards7 Pass TD8 INT53.7% Comp %

Rushing

213 Rush yards2 Rush TD87 Carries2.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat87
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.62 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Eastern Illinois.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
3	vsEastern Illinois	W31-7	—	20/31	227	2	0	35.9	62	0	0.62
4	@Washington	L5-24	3.1	8/27	53	0	2	4.0	21	0	-0.62
6	vsIndiana	L24-41	20.1	23/38	243	2	0	63.3	34	0	0.20
7	@Maryland	W37-10	-3.9	10/18	203	0	0	83.2	24	1	0.39
8	vsWisconsin	L3-23	3.0	9/24	82	0	0	23.0	55	0	-0.05
9	@Iowa	L14-40	15.8	10/19	62	0	2	9.9	-4	0	-0.01
10	@Purdue	W26-20	-16.2	23/35	250	1	0	50.5	26	0	0.32
12	vsOhio State	L7-31	31.2	21/35	201	0	0	50.7	8	1	-0.02
13	@Michigan	L6-50	10.6	10/21	106	0	2	9.7	-35	0	-0.12
14	vsIllinois	L28-38	9.6	25/48	287	2	2	51.0	22	0	0.14

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

60.8%

Passing plays

88.9%

Rushing plays

25.2%

Standard downs

53.7%

Passing downs

74.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.06
Passing downs: 0.32
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.05 / 0.33

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).