#13Ja'Ricous Hairston

TE·Virginia Tech·2025

Ja'Ricous Hairston is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Virginia Tech.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ja'Ricous Hairston's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

12 Receptions112 Rec yards3 Rec TD9.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

Efficiency100
Volume8
Explosiveness16
Consistency74
Pass-Down91

Player type

Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.18 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 4.08 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Georgia Tech (SP+ 9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
2	vsVanderbilt	L20-44	20.3	1	2	2.0	1	2	2.54
3	vsOld Dominion	L26-45	5.9	1	12	12.0	0	12	-0.05
4	vsWofford	W38-6	—	1	23	23.0	0	23	3.41
5	@NC State	W23-21	4.8	1	5	5.0	0	5	1.12
7	@Georgia Tech	L20-35	9.3	2	36	18.0	2	33	4.08
10	vsLouisville	L16-28	12.4	3	15	5.0	0	11	0.14
12	@Florida State	L14-34	7.2	1	6	6.0	0	6	1.84
13	vsMiami	L17-34	20.7	2	13	6.5	0	8	0.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

2.9%

Passing plays

6.4%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

1.9%

Passing downs

5.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 1.23
Passing downs: 1.47
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.36 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).