#7Elijah Brown

QB·Stanford·2025

Elijah Brown is a Clutch Passer for Stanford. Elijah's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 114 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Elijah Brown's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

74/127 Comp/Att829 Pass yards4 Pass TD2 INT58.3% Comp %

Rushing

-96 Rush yards0 Rush TD17 Carries-5.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume98
Dual-Threat44
Consistency77
Clutch67

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.35 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Miami (SP+ 21).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
8	vsFlorida State	W20-13	7.2	6/12	71	0	0	43.1	-3	0	0.10
9	@Miami	L7-42	20.7	3/5	39	0	0	84.2	—	—	0.35
10	vsPittsburgh	L20-35	8.4	10/14	108	1	0	33.1	-17	0	0.12
11	@North Carolina	L15-20	-6.6	27/39	284	1	1	41.2	-73	0	0.25
13	vsCalifornia	W31-10	-3.2	10/20	123	1	0	46.1	3	0	-0.04
14	vsNotre Dame	L20-49	24.4	18/37	204	1	1	48.2	-6	0	0.28

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

34.2%

Passing plays

64.4%

Rushing plays

1.7%

Standard downs

25.6%

Passing downs

50.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.09
Passing downs: 0.22
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).