#10Darian Mensah

QB·Tulane·2025 20247.0 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Darian Mensah is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Tulane. Darian's 2024 season ranks in the 83th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 305 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Darian Mensah's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

189/287 Comp/Att2723 Pass yards22 Pass TD6 INT65.9% Comp %

Rushing

132 Rush yards1 Rush TD60 Carries2.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency83
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency80
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)83th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (83th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.36 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs SE Louisiana.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSE Louisiana	W52-0	—	10/12	205	2	0	91.8	14	0	1.36
2	vsKansas State	L27-34	14.1	19/29	342	2	1	77.8	-9	0	0.77
3	@Oklahoma	L19-34	9.5	14/32	166	1	1	24.9	-7	0	0.27
4	@Louisiana	W41-33	4.8	11/17	83	1	0	80.1	17	0	-0.04
5	vsSouth Florida	W45-10	-2.3	18/22	326	3	0	99.4	17	0	1.23
6	@UAB	W71-20	-11.3	12/15	134	1	0	79.2	8	0	0.47
8	vsRice	W24-10	-11.4	12/25	152	1	0	17.4	-11	0	0.16
9	@North Texas	W45-37	-4.5	10/13	175	3	1	87.7	-3	0	0.91
10	@Charlotte	W34-3	-15.3	21/29	214	0	0	73.7	-5	0	0.39
11	vsTemple	W52-6	-20.3	14/21	262	2	1	87.7	5	0	0.83
12	@Navy	W35-0	3.5	10/14	138	2	0	94.4	57	1	0.83
14	vsMemphis	L24-34	9.6	21/33	317	2	1	75.2	8	0	0.22
15	@Army	L14-35	9.2	17/25	209	2	1	65.5	41	0	0.42

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

40.7%

Passing plays

95.1%

Rushing plays

8.8%

Standard downs

33.9%

Passing downs

55.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.35
Passing downs: 0.76
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.54 / 0.49

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2024	Tulane	7.0	0.543	—	188.0
2025	Duke	7.7	0.420	-0.12	206.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.