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Damien Alford
Damien Alford

#9Damien Alford

WR·Syracuse·2023

Damien Alford is a Vertical Threat WR for Syracuse. Damien's 2023 season produced 45.3 total EPA across 40 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Damien Alford's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
33 Receptions610 Rec yards3 Rec TD18.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness77
  • Consistency73
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.75 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 3.38 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Wake Forest (SP+ -8).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.380−3.38Wk 1 vs Colgate: +1.23 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Western Michigan: +0.35 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Purdue: +0.85 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Army: +1.10 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Clemson: +0.04 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Florida State: +0.29 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Virginia Tech: +1.29 EPA/play9Wk 12 vs Georgia Tech: +0.89 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Wake Forest: +3.38 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsColgateW65-0—3279.01131.23
2vsWestern MichiganW48-7-15.911515.00150.35
3@PurdueW35-20-7.347017.50340.85
4vsArmyW29-16-4.0913515.00311.10
5vsClemsonL14-3110.513535.00350.04
7@Florida StateL3-4119.423718.50220.29
9@Virginia TechL10-385.847017.50221.29
12@Georgia TechL22-310.311212.00120.89
13vsWake ForestW35-31-7.9412631.52473.38
20vsSouth FloridaL0-45-6.648320.8033—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.5%
Passing plays
15.2%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
7.4%
Passing downs
4.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.89
Passing downs
1.86
Pass / Rush EPA
1.13 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.