#2Chris Robison

QB·Florida Atlantic·20194.3 pts line value

Chris Robison is a Clutch Passer for Florida Atlantic. Chris's 2019 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 500 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Chris Robison's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Passing

292/472 Comp/Att3699 Pass yards28 Pass TD6 INT61.9% Comp %

Rushing

-60 Rush yards2 Rush TD84 Carries-0.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

Efficiency3
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency77
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.73 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Wagner.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Ohio State	L21-45	35.4	22/34	178	1	0	13.2	-24	0	0.17
2	vsUCF	L14-48	19.1	18/40	177	0	1	20.6	-20	0	-0.11
3	@Ball State	W41-31	-4.5	33/41	366	4	0	84.6	14	0	0.47
4	vsWagner	W42-7	—	25/36	379	5	0	90.7	-2	0	0.73
5	@Charlotte	W45-27	-6.3	20/27	312	2	1	77.4	-28	0	0.54
7	vsMiddle Tennessee	W28-13	-11.3	16/30	149	1	0	38.8	11	0	0.06
8	vsMarshall	L31-36	-1.9	21/39	362	0	1	40.8	-47	2	0.22
9	@Old Dominion	W41-3	-24.4	17/24	208	2	1	89.2	6	0	0.51
10	@Western Kentucky	W35-24	1.7	18/29	208	2	0	—	-7	0	0.13
11	vsFlorida International	W37-7	-7.0	22/37	298	1	0	—	-12	0	0.11
13	@UTSA	W40-26	-23.7	27/41	336	1	0	—	-7	0	0.41
14	vsSouthern Miss	W34-17	-4.8	8/19	156	3	1	—	-2	0	0.14
15	vsUAB	W49-6	-1.4	18/38	299	4	1	—	30	0	0.36
1	vsSMU	W52-28	4.4	27/37	271	2	0	—	28	0	0.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

51.6%

Passing plays

93.5%

Rushing plays

12.1%

Standard downs

46.2%

Passing downs

61.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.48
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.35 / -0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.