#2Brendon Lewis

QB·Nevada·20244.9 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Brendon Lewis is a Dual-Threat QB for Nevada. Brendon's 2024 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 443 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brendon Lewis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

211/312 Comp/Att2290 Pass yards16 Pass TD7 INT67.6% Comp %

Rushing

775 Rush yards8 Rush TD157 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency8
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency82
Clutch82

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)8th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Oregon State (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
0	vsSMU	L24-29	17.5	14/26	132	2	0	72.0	77	0	—
1	@Troy	W28-26	-6.6	17/20	158	2	0	74.6	34	0	0.17
2	vsGeorgia Southern	L17-20	-1.7	23/35	271	1	0	49.5	97	1	0.37
3	@Minnesota	L0-27	10.4	15/22	114	0	3	17.4	-1	0	-0.11
4	vsEastern Washington	W49-16	—	16/22	193	2	1	71.3	65	0	0.47
6	@San José State	L31-35	-5.5	22/30	213	2	1	88.9	90	2	0.52
7	vsOregon State	W42-37	-6.7	5/12	51	0	0	96.6	151	1	0.56
8	vsFresno State	L21-24	-3.8	13/19	158	1	0	58.7	38	1	0.20
10	vsColorado State	L21-38	-5.7	20/28	252	1	0	69.4	109	2	0.46
11	@Boise State	L21-28	10.1	17/26	188	1	0	58.5	32	1	0.34
13	vsAir Force	L19-22	-11.7	22/35	268	2	1	54.7	53	0	0.33
14	@UNLV	L14-38	9.3	27/37	292	2	1	42.5	30	0	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

62.0%

Passing plays

96.0%

Rushing plays

32.7%

Standard downs

55.0%

Passing downs

77.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.24
Passing downs: 0.46
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.27 / 0.48

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.