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Andrew Burnette

#0Andrew Burnette

Andrew Burnette is a Committee Back for Louisiana Tech. Andrew's 2025 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 87 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Andrew Burnette's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
486 Rush yards9 Rush TD94 Carries5.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
3 Receptions13 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency3
  • Volume39
  • Explosiveness44
  • Consistency54
  • Receiving25
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency54th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.28 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.77 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Sam Houston (SP+ -28).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.7701.77Wk 1 vs SE Louisiana: +0.32 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs LSU: -0.03 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs New Mexico State: +0.10 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Southern Miss: -0.34 EPA/play4Wk 9 vs Western Kentucky: +0.23 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Sam Houston: +1.77 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Delaware: +0.31 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Washington State: +0.34 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Liberty: +0.39 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Missouri State: +0.29 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsSE LouisianaW24-04235.801400.32
2@LSUL7-2310.3451.30140-0.03
3vsNew Mexico StateW49-14-15.511413.710.10
4vsSouthern MissW30-20-7.14112.80-0.34
9vsWestern KentuckyL27-281.611322.910.23
10vsSam HoustonW55-14-27.837224.011.77
11@DelawareL24-25-10.9252.500.31
12@Washington StateL3-283.85397.800.34
13vsLibertyW34-28-9.017935.530.39
14@Missouri StateW42-30-10.7161328.320.29
20vsCoastal CarolinaW23-14-15.117331.91150

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
13.8%
Passing plays
1.9%
Rushing plays
21.5%
Standard downs
17.2%
Passing downs
5.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.14
Pass / Rush EPA
0.23 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.