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Ducks at Oilers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸6
Edmonton Oilers
4
FinalTV TBS, HBO MAX·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 15:08 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.0, EDM 2.9; shots on goal were ANA 28, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.1 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Killorn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Josh Samanski (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Killorn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Samanski1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11031226628
EDMEDM115211111437

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(1)
    V. Podkolzin (3), J. Walman (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:58
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(1)PPG
    A. Killorn (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:48

2nd period

  1. ANA
    J. Trouba(1)
    J. LaCombe (2), T. Terry (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:44
  2. ANA
    A. Killorn(1)PPG
    C. Gauthier (1), J. LaCombe (3)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:35
  3. EDM
    C. Murphy(1)
    L. Draisaitl (3), K. Kapanen (1)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:46
  4. ANA
    R. Poehling(1)SHG
    A. Killorn (2)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +20 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:50
  5. EDM
    Z. Hyman(1)
    M. Ekholm (2), R. Nugent-Hopkins (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:48

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Samanski(1)
    J. Roslovic (1), M. Savoie (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +36 ptsVideo
    4-4
    13:51
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +40 ptsVideo
    5-4
    15:08
  3. ANA
    R. Poehling(2)EN
    J. LaCombe (4)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +7 ptsVideo
    6-4
    18:50

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:29ANACutter Gauthier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:19EDMJack Roslovic · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 11:04EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 17:45ANARyan Poehling · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

2nd

  • 4:29EDMMatt Savoie · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 14:20ANACutter Gauthier · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 18:52ANAPavel Mintyukov · Roughingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, 3rd 15:08 — ANA 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14J. Samanski · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11C. Murphy · Goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.06J. Samanski · Goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
3.05 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.52 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.92 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA44%56%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
39
13
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65J. TroubaD101+120.13320—25:51
74J. CarlsonD000000.00030—24:00
2J. LaCombeD033+120.02020—23:31
98P. MintyukovD000-110.02112—23:30
64M. GranlundC000-100.033005618:30
61C. GauthierL213+140.46104—17:55
91L. CarlssonC000+240.360003317:53
19T. TerryR011+100.06000—16:57
17A. KillornL123040.50000—16:14
42T. WasheC000-110.132206316:11
25R. PoehlingC202+120.711026214:10
45B. SenneckeR000-200.10300—13:01
28J. VielL000020.04300—12:57
23M. McTavishC000-120.075105011:58
20C. KreiderL000-110.19110—10:49
60T. HindsD000000.02410—10:43
3I. MooreD000020.12200—10:38
14D. HellesonD000-110.03300—07:52
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)37334.8922.89-1.1159:20

Series

ANA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).