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Ducks at Oilers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV ESPN2, Victory+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 18:06 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were ANA 28, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (2 G), 2. Kasperi Kapanen (2 G), 3. Troy Terry (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Dickinson2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    K. Kapanen2 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    T. Terry2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA04313011328
EDMEDM21401228434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Dickinson(1)
    J. Walman (1), T. Emberson (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:21
  2. EDM
    K. Kapanen(1)
    L. Draisaitl (1), V. Podkolzin (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:21

2nd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(1)
    L. Carlsson (1), J. LaCombe (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:19
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(1)
    T. Terry (1), C. Kreider (1)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:38
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(2)PPG
    J. Carlson (1), M. Granlund (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:29

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Dickinson(2)
    M. Ekholm (1), J. Walman (2)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:30
  2. EDM
    K. Kapanen(2)
    V. Podkolzin (2), L. Draisaitl (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:06

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:19EDMJake Walman · Trippingdrawn by Tim Washe2 min
  • 5:59ANAAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 14:24EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 15:54ANAAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, 3rd 18:06 — EDM 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.35L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.32K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.23K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.23V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.11K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.11M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ingram · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
3.03 G
All situations
4 G3.6
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA41%59%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
46
19
Blocked shots
19
14
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011010.01340—26:34
65J. TroubaD000000.02340—25:29
74J. CarlsonD011-100.01120—24:02
64M. GranlundC011-110.371003820:11
98P. MintyukovD000000.02200—19:35
17A. KillornL000-210.0710410018:48
19T. TerryR213+150.61000—18:04
91L. CarlssonC1120101.100006317:52
45B. SenneckeR000-260.32200—16:20
20C. KreiderL011000.18410—14:16
42T. WasheC000000.001203814:06
61C. GauthierL000-110.02500—13:02
25R. PoehlingC000-110.051205012:36
23M. McTavishC000010.16200012:07
60T. HindsD000-200.01000—11:53
3I. MooreD000000.01420—11:37
28J. VielL000000.00510—11:31
7R. GudasD000-110.03210—09:40
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)34304.8823.64-0.3658:17

Series

ANA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).