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Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 13:16 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 15% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.8 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 25, TOR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mackie Samoskevich (1 G, 2 A), 2. William Nylander (2 G), 3. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Samoskevich1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA2817310625
TORTOR062607219

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(11)
    M. Samoskevich (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:23
  2. FLA
    C. Reinhardt(6)
    D. Sebrango (6), V. Hinostroza (11)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:32

2nd period

  1. FLA
    T. Nosek(1)
    M. Alscher (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:32
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(27)PPG
    J. Tavares (40), E. Cowan (17)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:55
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(28)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(11)
    A. Greer (15), E. Luostarinen (20)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:13
  2. FLA
    A. Greer(16)EN
    E. Luostarinen (21), M. Samoskevich (19)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    15:56
  3. FLA
    T. Nosek(2)EN
    N. Gregor (4)
    backhandxG 0.42Video
    6-2
    18:07

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:32TORserved by M. Maccelli · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 10:34FLANolan Foote · High stickingdrawn by William Villeneuve2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 13:16 — TOR 15% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.32W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.31W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.18M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.17S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.16M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.11M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.06L. Haymes · Missed · xG 0.05S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quillan · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04W. Villeneuve · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quillan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
3.84 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA36%64%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
25
Shots on goal
19
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+220.07120—21:54
20M. BenningD000+210.02000—21:38
6D. SebrangoD011+300.02100—19:30
4M. AlscherD011+300.08000—19:21
54L. JanssonD000010.03010—18:42
22T. BjornfotD000000.00030—17:16
24V. HinostrozaC011010.11310016:36
32W. SkoogC000+120.08230015:49
70J. BoqvistC000+110.16210015:41
29C. ReinhardtL101+110.08410—15:29
79C. SchwindtR000+140.381004715:18
27E. LuostarinenC123+210.100003215:10
18N. GregorL011+130.28010—15:04
71L. KuninC000000.004105014:52
10A. GreerL112+321.09100—14:49
92T. NosekL202+220.951002014:40
25N. FooteL000010.16312—14:13
11M. SamoskevichR123+330.18000—13:37
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(W)19172.8952.69+0.6960:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).