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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
FinalTV The Spot, TSN2·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 12:49 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.3, TBL 3.6; shots on goal were MTL 23, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Jakub Dobes (36 saves, .973), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (19 saves, .905), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Dobes36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy19 saves, .905
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL191628423
TBLTBL18012017137

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(29)PPG
    I. Demidov (42), C. Caufield (34)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:25
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(36)
    Z. Girgensons (9), R. McDonagh (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:41

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(47)
    J. Slafkovský (37), M. Matheson (29)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:49

3rd period

  1. MTL
    M. Matheson(7)EN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.50win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:54
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(27)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.67win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:54

Penalties

MTL 32 PIM·TBL 30 PIM

1st

  • 3:06MTLJayden Struble · Holdingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 9:24MTLKaiden Guhle · Cross checkingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 9:55MTLNoah Dobson · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 9:55TBLNikita Kucherov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jakub Dobes2 min
  • 10:25TBLJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 11:03TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min

2nd

  • 15:35MTLAlex Newhook · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 19:09TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

3rd

  • 4:45TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 4:45MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 4:45TBLJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 4:45MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 4:45TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 4:45MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 4:45MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 4:45TBLJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 15:54MTLNick Suzuki · Cross checkingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 17:27MTLJake Evans · Boardingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:27TBLDarren Raddysh · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 19:23TBLScott Sabourin · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 19:23MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 19:23TBLGage Goncalves · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 19:23MTLPhillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min
  • 19:23TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:23MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 19:23TBLNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 19:23MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 19:23TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
  • 19:23MTLJoseph Veleno · Roughingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 20:00MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 20:00TBLRyan McDonagh · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 2nd 12:49 — MTL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.41B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.18B. Point · On goal · xG 0.18N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.15R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.00Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL1 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
3.32 G
All situations
1 G3.6
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL28%72%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
23
Shots on goal
37
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/4
32
Penalty minutes
30
23
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000+100.08030—26:11
8M. MathesonD112+220.51120—23:28
53N. DobsonD000000.00102—21:45
14N. SuzukiC101+250.991125020:27
20J. SlafkovskýL112+210.18220—19:12
21K. GuhleD000+100.04232—18:14
13C. CaufieldR112+240.31000—17:05
93I. DemidovR011020.48100—15:43
15A. NewhookC000-120.150128314:45
24P. DanaultC000+110.081027514:43
71J. EvansC000-100.000424314:43
91O. KapanenC000010.140002514:30
47J. StrubleD000010.01114—13:48
90J. VelenoC000010.1040210013:03
72A. XhekajD000000.02102—12:57
17J. AndersonR000030.23406—12:31
76Z. BolducR000000.00204—10:37
11B. GallagherR000000.04202—08:18
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)37361.9733.56+2.5660:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).