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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV The Spot, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pontus Holmberg's goal at 6:03 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were TBL 27, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 10 of 13 (.769), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charle-Edouard D'Astous (1 G), 2. Darren Raddysh (2 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    C. D'Astous1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL3141429627
MTLMTL0711505127

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:27
  2. TBL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:03
  3. TBL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:12

2nd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    2:43
  2. MTL
    batxG 0.28win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:06

3rd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-1
    1:22
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.04Video
    6-1
    8:41

Penalties

TBL 17 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 3:56TBLPontus Holmberg · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 3:56MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Max Crozier2 min
  • 3:56TBLMax Crozier · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 20:00TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Cross checkingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

2nd

  • 4:44TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 12:33MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 18:10TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min

3rd

  • 5:54MTLZachary Bolduc · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Douglas2 min
  • 8:37MTLArber Xhekaj · High stickingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 15:16TBLScott Sabourin · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 15:16MTLJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Scott Sabourin5 min
  • 19:03TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Jared Davidson2 min
  • 19:03MTLJared Davidson · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Pontus Holmberg, 1st 6:03 — TBL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.28N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.18J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.15J. Davidson · Missed · xG 0.14O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.14N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.14C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.14L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.12O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.46 G
All situations
1 G3.2
1.95 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL37%63%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
27
30%
Faceoffs
70%
1/3
Power play
1/4
17
Penalty minutes
15
27
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD202+330.11310—24:26
51C. D'AstousD101+550.20104—23:46
78E. LillebergD000+110.02532—23:45
90J. MoserD000000.07010—22:13
59J. GuentzelC011+110.190104319:28
21B. PointC112+220.330002017:44
86N. KucherovR112+320.20012—17:43
38B. HagelL000+300.0200010016:54
22O. BjorkstrandR011010.05210—15:59
37Y. GourdeC000010.201002015:44
24M. CrozierD011+120.04032—15:18
28Z. GirgensonsC000060.39300014:58
71A. CirelliC011+300.073002714:44
29P. HolmbergR101+120.4111210012:34
20N. PaulL000000.003105012:22
42C. DouglasC000+100.02310009:49
46S. SabourinR000+100.00225—08:26
77V. HedmanD000010.08000—06:14
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)27261.9633.17+2.1760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).