Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pontus Holmberg's goal at 6:03 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were TBL 27, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 10 of 13 (.769), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charle-Edouard D'Astous (1 G), 2. Darren Raddysh (2 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. D'Astous1 G

- ★★D. Raddysh2 G

- ★★★B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-02:27
2-06:03
3-017:12
2nd period
4-02:43
4-119:06
3rd period
5-11:22
6-18:41
Penalties
1st
- 3:56
Pontus Holmberg · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
- 3:56
Brendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Max Crozier2 min
- 3:56
Max Crozier · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 20:00
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · Cross checkingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
2nd
- 4:44
Nikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
- 12:33
Arber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
- 18:10
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
3rd
- 5:54
Zachary Bolduc · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Douglas2 min
- 8:37
Arber Xhekaj · High stickingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
- 15:16
Scott Sabourin · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
- 15:16
Josh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Scott Sabourin5 min
- 19:03
Emil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Jared Davidson2 min
- 19:03
Jared Davidson · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pontus Holmberg, 1st 6:03 — 59% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.46 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 1.95 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.4
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 30%
- Faceoffs
- 70%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/4
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 27
- Hits
- 24
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
6@
1this game
4@
5SOFinal
4@
1Final
1@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
