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Red Wings at Sabres
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNDET·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 9:11 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 62% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.0 to 3.4; shots on goal were DET 20, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (1 G), 2. Moritz Seider (2 A), 3. John Gibson (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Gibson28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET3100327520
BUFBUF01111217230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(36)PPG
    M. Seider (41), D. Larkin (28)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:02
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(23)PPG
    M. Seider (42)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:11
  3. DET
    M. Kasper(8)
    E. Finnie (15), J. van Riemsdyk (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:06

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(37)
    P. Krebs (25), C. Timmins (7)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:35

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Bernard-Docker(1)
    P. Kane (31), A. DeBrincat (40)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:46
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(16)
    T. Pearson (7), B. Byram (27)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:25
  3. DET
    P. Kane(13)EN
    A. DeBrincat (41)
    wristxG 0.54Video
    5-2
    18:17

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·BUF 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:57BUFJosh Norris · High stickingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 8:25BUFLogan Stanley · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 17:51DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Trippingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

2nd

  • 11:09DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 11:09BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 14:31BUFLogan Stanley · Slashingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 17:30DETMason Appleton · Holdingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

3rd

  • 5:53BUFRasmus Dahlin · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 7:48DETJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 9:44BUFTage Thompson · High sticking double minordrawn by Simon Edvinsson4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalDET goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 1st 9:11 — DET 62% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.27J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.23R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.19A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.19T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.17J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.16T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.14R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.13J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.12J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.11M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.10T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF2 G · 4.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsBUF
3.44 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET25%75%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsBUF
20
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/6
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
11
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
6
18
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD022+110.00130—29:48
77S. EdvinssonD000+110.00200—24:06
71D. LarkinC011010.401006723:14
37J. CompherL000010.010204421:18
23L. RaymondL101020.18002—20:14
72J. FaulkD000000.00132—20:11
93A. DeBrincatR123+141.06000—18:56
18A. CoppC000+110.202305518:47
88P. KaneR112+120.61000—18:01
8B. ChiarotD000+110.00020—17:55
92M. KasperC101010.301005014:05
58E. FinnieC011030.43000013:02
57D. PerronL000000.05100—10:13
20A. JohanssonD000-110.02100—10:11
25J. Bernard-DockerD101010.08102—09:46
21J. van RiemsdykL011+100.01000—09:17
22M. AppletonC000-100.00002008:15
65D. ShineR000000.000105004:41
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)30282.9334.04+2.0460:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).