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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, TVAS·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The Bruins scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Domi's goal at 18:08 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 55% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 7.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were TOR 35, BOS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (18 saves, .900), 2. John Tavares (3 A), 3. Matthew Knies (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz18 saves, .900
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares3 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Knies2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR09213213435
BOSBOS150817220

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:04

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(19)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:27
  2. TOR
    M. Domi(11)PPG
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:08

3rd period

  1. TOR
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:00
  2. BOS
    C. McAvoy(10)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:08
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(20)EN
    pokexG 0.93win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:38

Penalties

TOR 17 PIM·BOS 16 PIM

1st

  • 5:35TORMichael Pezzetta · High stickingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 15:26BOSCasey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 3:15TORDakota Joshua · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 5:37TORBrandon Carlo · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 7:51TORJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 16:42BOSHenri Jokiharju · Slashingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 17:53TOREaston Cowan · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 17:53BOSNikita Zadorov · Boardingdrawn by John Tavares5 min

3rd

  • 3:03TORDakota Joshua · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 3:03BOSNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Dakota Joshua5 min
  • 4:08TORMatthew Knies · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 18:56BOSCasey Mittelstadt · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Max Domi, 2nd 18:08 — TOR 55% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.27M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.21M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.19M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.19D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.18M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.15C. McAvoy · Goal · xG 0.11M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.05F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.05L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Aspirot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Aspirot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Aspirot · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01
BOS2 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
7.03 G
All situations
2 G2.9
3.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.11 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.71 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR76%24%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.72 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
35
Shots on goal
20
35%
Faceoffs
65%
2/4
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
16
22
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
6
12
Giveaways
28
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD011+100.08002—23:10
88W. NylanderR112061.68010—21:53
95O. Ekman-LarssonD011+120.10110—20:20
91J. TavaresC033020.540005019:30
44M. RiellyD000030.25030—18:46
23M. KniesL202+141.43202—18:21
25B. CarloD000-120.48202—18:20
53E. CowanR000000.34202—17:45
2S. BenoitD000+120.05410—17:01
28T. StecherD000010.01000—16:59
29B. GroulxC000+110.28200815:43
11M. DomiC101020.220004015:29
89N. RobertsonL000010.08200—14:29
81D. JoshuaC000050.892073312:58
63M. MaccelliL000010.14000—11:45
18S. LorentzC000020.3911010011:27
26J. QuillanC000010.032103010:13
61M. PezzettaL000000.00202—05:00
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)20182.9002.95+0.9559:51

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).