Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 4:41 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.9 to 3.4; shots on goal were BOS 39, TOR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Dennis Hildeby stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Morgan Rielly (2 A), 3. Mason Lohrei (2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-13:12
1-13:30
2-13:50
2-213:03
2nd period
3-22:15
4-24:41
4-316:51
3rd period
5-316:58
Penalties
1st
- 1:22
Henri Jokiharju · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
- 10:59
Michael Eyssimont · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
2nd
- 0:27
Bobby McMann · Slashingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
- 13:37
Nikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Bobby McMann5 min
- 13:37
Bobby McMann · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
- 15:05
Tanner Jeannot · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
3rd
- 8:44
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
- 8:44
Michael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 17:55
Hampus Lindholm · Holding the stickdrawn by Max Domi2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Pastrnak, 2nd 4:41 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.45 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.9
- 2.64 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.4
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 109 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 3.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 2/4
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 22
- Hits
- 26
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 21
- Giveaways
- 25
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
