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Penguins at Hurricanes
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
5
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SN-PIT·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-5 in overtime, Sean Walker scoring at 4:31. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Walker's goal at 4:31 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 3.5; shots on goal were PIT 35, CAR 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 38 of 44 (.864), 1.6 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jackson Blake (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (3 A), 3. Sean Walker (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Walker1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0121741303535
CARCAR11511431411644

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(10)SHG
    J. Staal (13), J. Slavin (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:34

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(28)
    R. Rakell (20), E. Karlsson (43)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:57
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(20)
    T. Hall (23), N. Ehlers (34)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:51

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Karlsson(8)PPG
    R. Rakell (21), E. Malkin (36)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:59
  2. CAR
    T. Hall(15)
    J. Blake (22), L. Stankoven (18)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:27
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(26)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:16
  4. CAR
    L. Stankoven(14)PPG
    N. Ehlers (35), J. Blake (23)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:59
  5. PIT
    E. Karlsson(9)
    P. Wotherspoon (21), S. Crosby (33)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +36 ptsVideo
    4-4
    14:46
  6. PIT
    B. Kindel(17)
    A. Mantha (27), I. Solovyov (7)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +40 ptsVideo
    5-4
    15:09
  7. CAR
    K. Miller(5)
    S. Walker (16), N. Ehlers (36)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +42 ptsVideo
    5-5
    17:09

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Walker(7)
    S. Aho (45), S. Jarvis (26)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    4:31

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:24CARMark Jankowski · Holdingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min

2nd

  • 11:55CARK'Andre Miller · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 14:47PITParker Wotherspoon · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 19:28CARAndrei Svechnikov · Holding the stickdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:28CARAndrei Svechnikov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:28PITSidney Crosby · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 0:29CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:17PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPIT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Walker, OT 4:31 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.25S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.21M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.21T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.21L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.15L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.15S. Walker · Goal · xG 0.14E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.4 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCAR
3.55 G
All situations
6 G4.4
2.74 G
Even strength
4 G3.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT35%65%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 4.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCAR
35
Shots on goal
44
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-210.06120—25:28
65E. KarlssonD213040.24010—24:02
5R. SheaD000-100.00210—21:59
71E. MalkinC011-100.000005021:43
67R. RakellR022+210.04100—20:46
28P. WotherspoonD011+100.00212—18:54
17B. RustR101+250.69000—18:33
87S. CrosbyC112040.382146718:33
18T. NovakC000010.140104317:44
39A. ManthaR011-140.14100—17:24
59E. ChinakhovR000020.38210—16:49
81B. KindelC101020.430004014:36
75C. CliftonD000+100.00340—14:34
55N. AcciariC000-250.541104013:18
19C. DewarC000-130.29510012:53
7I. SolovyovD011000.00110—12:39
16J. BrazeauR000020.01110—10:57
25E. SoderblomL000-110.14200—09:59
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(O)44386.8644.42-1.5864:31

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).