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Hurricanes at Penguins
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Brazeau's goal at 16:07 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 28, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.3 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (27 saves, .964), 2. Anthony Mantha (2 G), 3. Justin Brazeau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Skinner27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    PIT
    A. Mantha2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Brazeau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01011008128
PITPIT3132807528

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(21)
    R. Rakell (9), B. Rust (18)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:46
  2. PIT
    J. Brazeau(12)
    B. Kulak (3)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:07
  3. PIT
    A. Mantha(13)PPG
    B. Rust (19), E. Karlsson (24)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:12

2nd period

  1. PIT
    T. Novak(7)
    P. Wotherspoon (10), E. Karlsson (25)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    15:08
  2. PIT
    A. Mantha(14)
    J. Brazeau (8), T. Novak (13)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    18:08
  3. CAR
    M. Jankowski(2)
    J. Nystrom (7), M. Reilly (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    18:25

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·PIT 0 PIM

1st

  • 16:40CARK'Andre Miller · Interferencedrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 17:24CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCAR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Brazeau, 1st 16:07 — PIT 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.33S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.16N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.16J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.14C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.11J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.11V. Koivunen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08R. McGroarty · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06R. McGroarty · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.05R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. St. Ivany · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.00P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.00J. St. Ivany · Missed · xG 0.00R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPIT
2.11 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.91 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR38%62%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
21
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
19
21
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21A. NikishinD000-200.00220—22:39
19K. MillerD000-310.01122—21:28
26S. WalkerD000-140.10010—20:53
5J. ChatfieldD000-110.01210—19:17
50E. RobinsonL000-130.32310—18:06
64J. NystromD011010.04020—17:54
6M. ReillyD011+120.13210—17:47
82J. KotkaniemiC000-130.162105017:13
27N. EhlersL000010.33000—16:28
53J. BlakeR000-100.06012—15:28
71T. HallL000010.07010—14:53
28W. CarrierL000-110.04600—14:45
22L. StankovenC000020.120005614:22
20S. AhoC000-120.150002913:52
37A. SvechnikovR000-230.27100—13:50
77M. JankowskiL101020.260108013:29
11J. StaalC000-110.051105012:33
48J. MartinookL000-100.0010010012:31
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)28235.8212.75-2.2560:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).