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Avalanche at Kraken
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Seattle Kraken
1
FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 12:54 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.6, SEA 2.5; shots on goal were COL 26, SEA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 9 of 11 (.818), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 3 A), 2. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Devon Toews (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Toews2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL3151417526
SEASEA0811407129

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(30)
    D. Toews (14), N. MacKinnon (62)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:45
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(44)
    M. Necas (49), D. Toews (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:54
  3. COL
    N. Roy(7)PPG
    B. Nelson (25), N. MacKinnon (63)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:48

2nd period

  1. SEA
    R. Evans(7)SHG
    C. Stephenson (26)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:36
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(13)
    S. Malinski (26), N. MacKinnon (64)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:11

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Kiviranta(3)
    J. Manson (22), P. Kelly (11)
    deflectedxG 0.08Video
    5-1
    12:41

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:11SEAJordan Eberle · High sticking double minordrawn by Martin Necas4 min

2nd

  • 3:37COLDevon Toews · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 5:38COLBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min
  • 12:07SEAAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCOL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 12:54 — COL 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.25J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.21E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.19R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.18J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.16F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.12R. Evans · Goal · xG 0.12R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.11B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.10V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.08B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.08V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.05R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.04B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSEA
2.65 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.14 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL49%51%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSEA
26
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
10
21
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88M. NecasC112+310.09110022:32
8C. MakarD000+120.24120—21:01
29N. MacKinnonC134+340.160004320:58
7D. ToewsD022010.04102—19:41
91N. KadriC101+320.241103319:26
11B. NelsonC011041.040104119:18
70S. MalinskiD011+220.14220—19:09
13V. NichushkinR000-100.16100—18:19
27B. KulakD000+210.02110—18:05
10N. RoyC101-120.131101416:56
42J. MansonD011+120.02130—15:48
18J. DruryC000+100.041208015:36
84B. BurnsD000010.02022—14:45
94J. KivirantaL101+110.10000—14:20
17P. KellyC011+110.02100013:11
37N. BlankenburgD000000.00120—09:31
54G. BrindleyC000-110.09100009:20
93Z. BardakovC000010.03310008:04
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)29281.9662.50+1.5060:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).