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Avalanche at Kraken
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Seattle Kraken
3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 2:40 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 23% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 5.6 to 4.8; shots on goal were COL 39, SEA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Necas (2 A), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Necas2 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    C. Stephenson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL18115316539
SEASEA011313014338

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(13)
    M. Necas (30), J. Manson (8)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:19

2nd period

  1. SEA
    S. Wright(6)
    J. Nyman (1), K. Kakko (3)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:03
  2. SEA
    J. Eberle(10)
    A. Larsson (6), M. Beniers (14)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:48
  3. COL
    S. Girard(1)
    V. Nichushkin (9), B. Burns (14)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:29
  4. SEA
    C. Stephenson(7)PPG
    E. Tolvanen (12), V. Dunn (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:24

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(27)
    C. Makar (29), M. Necas (31)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:40
  2. COL
    B. Nelson(13)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (30), C. Makar (30)
    snapxG 0.53win prob +24 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:25
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(28)EN
    V. Nichushkin (10), G. Landeskog (10)
    backhandxG 0.63win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:36

Penalties

COL 16 PIM·SEA 16 PIM

1st

  • 13:19COLSam Malinski · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 15:34COLSam Malinski · Hookingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:07SEARyan Winterton · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 7:12SEAMason Marchment · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 16:17SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 18:56COLRoss Colton · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

3rd

  • 0:54COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 0:54COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 0:54SEAMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 0:54SEAMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 0:54SEABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 0:54SEABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 0:54COLBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 0:54COLBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 5:59COLJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min
  • 7:49COLJosh Manson · Ps covering puck in crease0 min
  • 8:15SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCOL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 2:40 — COL 23% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Wright · Goal · xG 0.77E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.48S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.33J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.25M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.25J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.23A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.23J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.21J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.16C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.15J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.13F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.12V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.11C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.08J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.08J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.08S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.07J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.06B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.04A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.02C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 5.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSEA
4.84 G
All situations
3 G5.6
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G3.8
1.51 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 113 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL30%70%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.68 – 5.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSEA
39
Shots on goal
38
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/4
16
Penalty minutes
16
14
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
26
13
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC213+361.032103023:30
8C. MakarD022+120.10020—22:48
7D. ToewsD000+130.07030—22:24
88M. NecasC022+210.44010021:16
92G. LandeskogL011+150.382207519:54
11B. NelsonC101-171.300004718:56
84B. BurnsD011+200.28024—18:08
49S. GirardD101020.15010—18:00
13V. NichushkinR022+110.06000—16:50
42J. MansonD011+120.05404—16:44
70S. MalinskiD000-110.02114—16:16
62A. LehkonenL101+240.63100—15:02
18J. DruryC000000.0201010011:53
17P. KellyC000030.0600010011:23
20R. ColtonC000000.012025010:50
54G. BrindleyC000-110.13200010:39
95V. OlofssonL000-100.04000—10:12
94J. KivirantaL000010.02002—08:47
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)38353.9215.61+2.6160:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).