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Flames at Capitals
NHL

Calgary Flames at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Washington Capitals
▸7
FinalTV MNMT, SNW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Calgary Flames 7-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McMichael's goal at 10:52 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 57% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.3 to 3.2; shots on goal were CGY 26, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.3 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Connor McMichael (2 G), 2. Hendrix Lapierre (1 G, 1 A), 3. Blake Coleman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    C. McMichael2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    H. Lapierre1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0731405326
WSHWSH3808413729

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    H. Lapierre(3)
    M. Fehérváry (17), D. Chisholm (6)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:46
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(24)
    A. Protas (23), D. Strome (34)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:13
  3. WSH
    C. McMichael(9)
    J. Sourdif (15), A. Beauvillier (11)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:43

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Gridin(4)
    O. Maatta (3), R. Strome (8)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:08
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(15)SHG
    M. Backlund (23), Y. Kuznetsov (7)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:39
  3. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(13)SHG
    J. Farabee (14)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(10)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:52
  2. WSH
    J. Sourdif(13)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-5
    11:15
  3. WSH
    E. Frank(12)EN
    B. Duhaime (3), H. Lapierre (9)
    snapxG 0.50Video
    3-6
    17:14
  4. WSH
    R. Leonard(12)
    J. Sourdif (16)
    backhandxG 0.22Video
    3-7
    19:44

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·WSH 0 PIM

1st

  • 4:53CGYZayne Parekh · Interferencedrawn by Ethen Frank2 min

2nd

  • 17:32CGYZayne Parekh · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

3rd

  • 9:22CGYKevin Bahl · High stickingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCGY goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McMichael, 3rd 10:52 — WSH 57% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Frank · Goal · xG 0.50H. Lapierre · Goal · xG 0.32R. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.22D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.19M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.16R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.15C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.14C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.13A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.12H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.12R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.12E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.11J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.11E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sourdif · Goal · xG 0.04H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH7 G · 4.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWSH
3.23 G
All situations
6 G4.3
2.51 G
Even strength
5 G3.0
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.62 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY41%59%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 3.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
29
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/0
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
15
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37Y. KuznetsovD011-100.00320—22:38
7K. BahlD000-330.12232—21:17
3O. MaattaD011+100.14010—20:22
19Z. ParekhD000-100.05004—19:04
44J. HanleyD000-100.02010—18:44
11M. BacklundC011000.140004318:26
20B. ColemanL101060.63220—18:19
94B. PachalD000-110.01220—18:08
86J. FarabeeL011010.01010—17:53
95V. OlofssonL000-100.00210—15:43
16M. FrostC000-110.141006015:25
17Y. SharangovichC101030.340003315:13
22R. StromeC011-210.520003014:06
47C. ZaryC000-120.41000013:33
27M. CoronatoR000-230.25100—13:30
92M. GridinR101-130.30100—12:46
43A. KlapkaR000-200.05100—11:21
70R. LombergL000-220.07000—08:39
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(L)28226.7863.75-2.2559:23

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).