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Washington Capitals at Calgary Flames

FinalTV MNMT, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 7:35 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 5.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 38, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Devin Cooley stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (25 saves, .962), 2. Aliaksei Protas (1 G), 3. Devin Cooley (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Protas1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Cooley35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH08117213338
CGYCGY1160406126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Frost(10)PPG
    C. Zary (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:09

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:33

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.12win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:35
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:07

Penalties

WSH 16 PIM·CGY 18 PIM

1st

  • 4:40WSHJohn Carlson · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Gridin2 min

2nd

  • 8:27WSHRyan Leonard · Cross checkingdrawn by Yan Kuznetsov2 min
  • 8:27CGYYan Kuznetsov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 12:11CGYJoel Farabee · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

3rd

  • 2:39CGYAdam Klapka · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 11:35CGYAdam Klapka · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:00CGYYan Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:37WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:51WSHHendrix Lapierre · Closing hand on puck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWSH goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 3rd 7:35 — WSH 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.12A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.11M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.11M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.08K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.07A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.07M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 1.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCGY
5.32 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.82 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
2.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH89%11%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.45 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCGY
38
Shots on goal
26
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/2
16
Penalty minutes
18
17
Hits
21
22
Blocked shots
17
18
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+120.18012—20:28
3M. RoyD000+110.15310—19:42
38R. SandinD000+110.02040—19:38
21A. ProtasL101+130.34120—19:12
6J. ChychrunD000+120.31120—19:09
42M. FehérváryD022+220.03110—18:59
9R. LeonardR000050.41202—18:12
17D. StromeC011+140.580108018:07
8A. OvechkinL101+161.54100—17:49
34J. SourdifC011+130.230202516:55
26N. DowdC000000.000006016:31
43T. WilsonR011+130.92501010016:30
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.05040—16:24
53E. FrankR000000.00020—13:50
72A. BeauvillierR000+120.2210010013:48
24C. McMichaelL000010.08000—12:30
29H. LapierreC101+130.220023309:32
22B. DuhaimeL000+200.00220—09:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)26251.9621.67+0.6759:52

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).