Skip to content
Islanders at Blue Jackets
NHL

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV FDSNOH, MSGSN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Simon Holmstrom scoring at 1:47. The Islanders came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 1:47 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 27, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Holmstrom (1 G), 2. Zach Werenski (2 A), 3. Scott Mayfield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Mayfield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI0531101011427
CBJCBJ1112160300330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:30

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:58
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(13)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:37
  3. NYI
    Unassisted
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:59
  4. NYI
    snapxG 0.01win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:10
  5. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:58

Overtime

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.39win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:47

Penalties

NYI 0 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

2nd

  • 11:59CBJserved by M. Marchment · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:53CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNYI goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, OT 1:47 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.21D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.20K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.12D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.12I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.11D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.07C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.04M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCBJ
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI56%44%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCBJ
27
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
32
20
Blocked shots
20
9
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD000010.16120—25:31
14B. HorvatC000040.370106122:21
77T. DeAngeloD011010.02040—22:11
3A. PelechD000-130.07100—21:46
13M. BarzalC022010.11000020:52
6R. PulockD000-130.27230—19:35
29J. DrouinL000-100.070302919:08
64C. RitchieC000-100.001205017:14
51E. HeinemanL000-110.12610—17:01
81O. PalatL000+140.40110—16:28
10S. HolmstromR101+310.39020—16:01
4C. SoucyD000+100.00200—14:52
24S. MayfieldD112+240.12000—14:19
44J. PageauC112+220.112106314:17
27A. LeeL101+210.28000—14:03
16M. GatcombC000-110.28200010:39
53C. CizikasC000-100.003006009:56
32K. MacLeanC000-100.0010010009:07
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)30273.9002.48-0.5261:47

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).