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Blue Jackets at Islanders
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV FDSNOH, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 19:22 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were CBJ 22, NYI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.2 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Schaefer (2 G), 2. Simon Holmstrom (1 G), 3. Elvis Merzlikins (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0311415222
NYINYI118010211339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Schaefer(4)PPG
    B. Horvat (6), K. Palmieri (5)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:53

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Wood(4)
    A. Fantilli (4), B. Jenner (5)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:21

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    D. Mateychuk(3)
    K. Marchenko (7), S. Monahan (5)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:10
  2. NYI
    M. Schaefer(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +45 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:53
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(4)
    A. Lee (7), J. Pageau (4)
    backhandxG 0.55win prob +47 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:22

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:43CBJDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

2nd

  • 3:06NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 11:32NYITony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 16:20NYIAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

3rd

  • 15:38NYIAlexander Romanov · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 16:17CBJDmitri Voronkov · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCBJ goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 3rd 19:22 — NYI 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.55J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.55B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.44A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.21E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.21A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.20E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.19B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.18J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.18C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.16M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.15T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.15E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.14T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.13S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 4.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNYI
2.82 G
All situations
3 G4.8
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G3.9
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ31%69%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 4.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
39
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
10
19
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000+120.17010—27:06
9I. ProvorovD000-110.15000—24:20
78D. SeversonD000-210.45312—23:43
3C. CoyleC000-100.002302719:14
4C. SillingerC000-110.030105018:23
86K. MarchenkoR011+120.07110—17:44
23S. MonahanC011010.140003117:18
24M. OlivierR000-110.18910—17:18
15D. FabbroD000+120.05020—16:43
10D. VoronkovL000020.38402—16:33
19A. FantilliC011+100.001105016:32
38B. JennerC011+110.182003315:53
5D. MateychukD101+130.29010—13:01
91K. JohnsonC000030.52000012:06
11M. WoodL101+110.12100—12:01
21I. LundestromC000-100.010004010:45
2J. ChristiansenD000000.00000—10:40
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.07310—09:08
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)39363.9234.24+1.2459:22

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).