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Wild at Mammoth
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV FDSNNO, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 4:26 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 23, UTA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.0 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 2 A), 2. Lawson Crouse (2 G), 3. Karel Vejmelka (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse2 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN061819223
UTAUTA115210212537

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(15)SHG
    J. McBain (15), M. Sergachev (31)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:23

2nd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(18)
    N. Schmaltz (31)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:26
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse(15)
    C. Keller (39), N. Schmaltz (32)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:49
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(33)PPG
    M. Boldy (33), M. Zuccarello (25)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:03

3rd period

  1. UTA
    B. Hayton(8)PPG
    M. Sergachev (32), C. Keller (40)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:19
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse(16)
    S. Durzi (15), J. McBain (16)
    tip-inxG 0.09Video
    1-5
    12:48
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(35)
    V. Tarasenko (17), M. Johansson (25)
    wristxG 0.12Video
    2-5
    14:05

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:08MINMarcus Foligno · Cross checkingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 11:38UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

2nd

  • 12:53UTAKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Danila Yurov2 min
  • 17:06UTANick Schmaltz · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:31MINZach Bogosian · Interferencedrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

3rd

  • 3:50MINMarcus Foligno · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Karel Vejmelka2 min
  • 20:00MINVinnie Hinostroza · Slashingdrawn by John Marino2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalMIN goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 2nd 4:26 — UTA 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.33N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.29L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.23B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.19D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.18C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.18M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.15J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.15B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.12D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.12L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.11L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.10S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.10M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.09D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 4.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsUTA
2.72 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsUTA
23
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
12
19
Blocked shots
8
17
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000-120.07010—25:15
7B. FaberD000-100.00010—23:26
97K. KaprizovL101-220.41000—21:00
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.07210—18:48
5J. MiddletonD000-110.01330—18:17
12M. BoldyL112+171.05140—17:41
38R. HartmanR000-340.440205017:40
36M. ZuccarelloR011-220.08120—17:31
24Z. BogosianD000-200.01112—17:17
13Y. TreninC000000.214105015:24
90M. JohanssonL011000.00000—15:24
22D. YurovR000000.001003614:24
91V. TarasenkoR011010.04000—14:18
48D. HuntD000010.01120—13:40
17M. FolignoL000010.07314—12:34
78N. SturmC000-100.131005011:13
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.080005010:25
18V. HinostrozaC000-210.05002009:55
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)37325.8654.04-0.9660:00

Season series

UTA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).