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Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, Utah16·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 6-2. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 15:43 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 16% to 31%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.8 to 3.6; shots on goal were UTA 41, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Cooley (2 G, 1 A), 2. Marcus Johansson (2 G), 3. Karel Vejmelka (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Cooley2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson2 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA315011315641
MINMIN1619020235

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    batxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:56
  2. UTA
    L. Cooley(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:29
  3. UTA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:58
  4. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:39

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:43

3rd period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:37
  2. UTA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    15:13
  3. UTA
    wristxG 0.44Video
    6-2
    19:54

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:46MINYakov Trenin · Slashingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

2nd

  • 11:47UTAMikhail Sergachev · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 11:47MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Roughingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 13:51UTAIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

3rd

  • 1:26UTAJack McBain · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 7:54UTABarrett Hayton · High stickingdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min
  • 17:48UTAIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalUTA goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 2nd 15:43 — MIN 16% → 31%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.44R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.24V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.19M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.18K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.12B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsMIN
3.85 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsMIN
41
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
32
21
Blocked shots
9
25
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD123+210.44020—23:27
98M. SergachevD022+100.00032—22:20
28I. ColeD011010.12284—22:03
88N. SchmidtD011+410.00300—21:16
8N. SchmaltzC202+360.420102016:24
82K. StenlundC000010.061105816:21
27B. HaytonC000+310.090023316:17
9C. KellerR000+230.18000—16:16
67L. CrouseL000-110.33010—16:10
26D. SimashevD000000.00000—15:35
22J. McBainC000040.373026315:16
2O. MaattaD000+210.02020—14:47
11D. GuentherR011+150.31100—14:07
92L. CooleyC213+250.700204413:58
77J. PeterkaR101+220.19000—13:31
13B. TanevL000020.17200—12:18
53M. CarconeL000-130.24010—11:00
38L. O'BrienC000040.21000009:02
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)35332.9433.59+1.5960:00

Season series

UTA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).