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Red Wings at Senators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
Ottawa Senators
1
Final/OTTV FDSNDET, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 1:50. The Senators scored first; the Red Wings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 1:50 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were DET 20, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. John Gibson stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. John Gibson (26 saves, .963), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Dylan Larkin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Gibson26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET04170811220
OTTOTT113090500127

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(15)PPG
    J. Sanderson (36), T. Stützle (34)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:44

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(27)PPG
    L. Raymond (42), M. Seider (32)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:24

Overtime

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(28)
    L. Raymond (43)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:50

Penalties

DET 13 PIM·OTT 23 PIM

1st

  • 11:42DETPatrick Kane · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:45DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

2nd

  • 5:10OTTRidly Greig · Hookingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 7:40OTTDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 7:40DETSimon Edvinsson · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:40OTTDylan Cozens · Fightingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson5 min
  • 7:40DETSimon Edvinsson · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Cozens5 min
  • 7:40OTTBrady Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:35OTTTyler Kleven · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 1:35DETJohn Gibson · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 1:35OTTRidly Greig · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDET goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 1:50 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.35S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.25N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.00A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsOTT
1.62 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET32%68%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsOTT
20
Shots on goal
27
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
23
18
Hits
30
21
Blocked shots
25
9
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011+110.03240—25:48
8B. ChiarotD000000.00320—24:33
77S. EdvinssonD000020.02157—23:46
71D. LarkinC202+130.411004523:11
23L. RaymondL022+140.23000—20:42
92M. KasperC000020.124106719:48
93A. DeBrincatR000010.16100—19:15
88P. KaneR000040.2001210018:43
18A. CoppC000000.240101718:09
20A. JohanssonD000010.03000—17:43
25J. Bernard-DockerD000010.04032—16:59
22M. AppletonC000000.02120013:07
37J. CompherL000010.080004412:35
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000000.02000—11:38
27M. RasmussenC000000.000202910:48
58E. FinnieC000000.00300008:37
21J. van RiemsdykL000000.00000—07:43
85E. SoderblomL000000.00200—07:29
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)27261.9632.56+1.5661:47

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).