Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 0:36. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 0:36 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 22, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. James Reimer stopped 30 of 34 (.882); John Gibson stopped 19 of 22 (.864). Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A), 3. James van Riemsdyk (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-04:26
2-05:05
2-17:16
2nd period
2-26:06
2-316:53
3-319:05
Overtime
3-40:36
Penalties
1st
- 4:47
Andrew Copp · Holdingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
- 5:22
Nick Cousins · Elbowingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
- 8:00
served by D. Batherson · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 8:00
Brady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
- 8:00
Elmer Soderblom · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 8:00
Thomas Chabot · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
- 8:00
Mason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
- 16:56
Moritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
2nd
- 9:42
Ridly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
- 16:17
David Perron · Holdingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
- 18:00
Elmer Soderblom · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
3rd
- 0:49
Brady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 0:36 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.63 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.9
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 0.62 G
- Power play
- 2 G2.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 2/5
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 24
- Hits
- 19
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 11
- Giveaways
- 18
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 3-1
5@
3Final
3@
4OTthis game
2@
1OTFinal
3@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






