Detroit Red Wings at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 8:11 of the first period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.8, UTA 4.1; shots on goal were DET 30, UTA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. John Gibson stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (29 saves, .967), 2. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Vejmelka29 saves, .967

- ★★N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Guenther1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-10:57
0-28:11
3rd period
0-34:40
1-315:52
1-417:42
Penalties
1st
- 6:32
Ben Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 7:50
Dylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
- 15:09
Barrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min
2nd
- 2:33
Travis Hamonic · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
- 5:54
Brandon Tanev · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
- 5:54
Travis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Tanev5 min
- 14:51
Dylan Guenther · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min
- 19:02
Nate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
3rd
- 14:21
Nick DeSimone · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 1st 8:11 — 69% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.81 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.1
- 1.60 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 1.91 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.1
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.75 – 2.97
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 24
- Hits
- 15
- 5
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 12
- Giveaways
- 9
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
UTA leads 2-0
4@
1Final
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






