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Detroit Red Wings at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FDSNDET, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 8:11 of the first period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.8, UTA 4.1; shots on goal were DET 30, UTA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. John Gibson stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (29 saves, .967), 2. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET06011113130
UTAUTA290927425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:57
  2. UTA
    B. Hayton (14), C. Keller (37)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:11

3rd period

  1. UTA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:40
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(26)PPG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:52
  3. UTA
    C. Keller(17)EN
    snapxG 0.51Video
    1-4
    17:42

Penalties

DET 11 PIM·UTA 13 PIM

1st

  • 6:32DETBen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:50DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 15:09UTABarrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min

2nd

  • 2:33DETTravis Hamonic · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 5:54UTABrandon Tanev · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 5:54DETTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Tanev5 min
  • 14:51UTADylan Guenther · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min
  • 19:02UTANate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min

3rd

  • 14:21UTANick DeSimone · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalDET goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 1st 8:11 — UTA 69% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.55C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.51N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.25N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.15B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.08J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.07J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.05L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 4.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsUTA
3.81 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.91 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET62%38%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.75 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsUTA
30
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
24
Hits
15
5
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-100.15330—30:34
20A. JohanssonD000020.04010—22:21
71D. LarkinC101-120.503025420:14
88P. KaneR000-240.3510010019:41
93A. DeBrincatR000-220.4600010019:29
23L. RaymondL000-151.00100—19:20
18A. CoppC000-220.221006017:01
25J. Bernard-DockerD000030.22000—16:54
8B. ChiarotD000-120.02202—16:50
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000-210.06100—16:36
92M. KasperC000040.48400015:06
21J. van RiemsdykL011-110.13000—14:05
22M. AppletonC000-110.12400013:24
37J. CompherL000-100.000005013:05
58E. FinnieC000-110.07300012:35
27M. RasmussenC000000.000003310:44
85E. SoderblomL000000.00000—09:53
52T. HamonicD000000.01117—09:23
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)24213.8752.99-0.0157:06

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).