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Mammoth at Red Wings
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack McBain's goal at 14:17 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were UTA 28, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack McBain (1 G), 3. Karel Vejmelka (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    J. McBain1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0828212428
DETDET01101215128

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(11)
    N. Schmaltz (19), J. Peterka (13)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:44
  2. UTA
    J. McBain(4)
    M. Carcone (7), S. Durzi (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:17

3rd period

  1. DET
    E. Finnie(8)PPG
    J. Leonard (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:55
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(16)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.47win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:52
  3. UTA
    K. Stenlund(3)
    C. Keller (19), M. Sergachev (19)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:23

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:06UTABarrett Hayton · Holdingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

2nd

  • 6:35DETSimon Edvinsson · Hookingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 9:19UTAClayton Keller · Interferencedrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 11:55UTABarrett Hayton · High stickingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 17:45DETElmer Soderblom · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 19:15DETMoritz Seider · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

3rd

  • 2:54DETJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Daniil But2 min
  • 8:12UTALawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalUTA goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Jack McBain, 2nd 14:17 — UTA 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.15A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.14E. Finnie · Goal · xG 0.13E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.13E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.12E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.03E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsDET
2.84 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.54 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA61%39%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsDET
28
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011+200.00140—22:32
6J. MarinoD000010.00030—21:29
8N. SchmaltzC011+220.120104020:08
88N. SchmidtD000+100.01110—19:19
28I. ColeD000+110.01220—19:01
50S. DurziD011+250.16010—18:10
67L. CrouseL000+100.03402—17:51
11D. GuentherR101+140.67000—17:03
9C. KellerR112+230.680125016:43
82K. StenlundC101+110.110007516:04
27B. HaytonC000+120.241142715:46
22J. McBainC101+120.114102914:45
77J. PeterkaR011+100.00000—13:52
53M. CarconeL011+110.321005013:44
19D. ButL000+130.10100—13:29
57N. DeSimoneD000+210.02110—12:47
38L. O'BrienC000010.13310009:49
56K. YamamotoR000010.11210—09:48
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)28271.9642.18+1.1859:57

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).