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Islanders at Jets
NHL

New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
4
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New York Islanders 5-4. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan DeMelo's goal at 12:23 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYI 27, WPG 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.0 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan DeMelo (1 G), 3. Emil Heineman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    D. DeMelo1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    E. Heineman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0738112427
WPGWPG1941102522

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(22)
    A. Iafallo (9), M. Scheifele (31)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:20

2nd period

  1. WPG
    J. Morrissey(8)
    C. Perfetti (11), A. Lowry (7)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:41
  2. WPG
    J. Toews(6)PPG
    G. Vilardi (23), K. Connor (32)
    slapxG 0.73win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:23
  3. NYI
    A. Duclair(8)
    A. Lee (16), R. Pulock (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:40
  4. NYI
    E. Heineman(14)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:58
  5. NYI
    K. MacLean(2)
    C. Cizikas (7)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:21
  6. WPG
    D. DeMelo(3)
    M. Scheifele (32), V. Namestnikov (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:23
  7. WPG
    A. Lowry(4)
    N. Pionk (6), D. Samberg (8)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:40

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Schaefer(13)
    M. Barzal (26), E. Heineman (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:14

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:31WPGJosh Morrissey · Hookingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

2nd

  • 5:48NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 8:58WPGLuke Schenn · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Emil Heineman0 min
  • 12:23NYIserved by Marc Gatcomb · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:39NYIAdam Boqvist · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan DeMelo, 2nd 12:23 — WPG 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.73K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.49G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.47J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.25G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.07J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00D. Zhilkin · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWPG
2.94 G
All situations
5 G3.7
2.14 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.80 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI48%52%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
22
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
9
20
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC011+110.160105424:38
3A. PelechD000-130.08020—22:43
48M. SchaeferD101010.03010—22:39
6R. PulockD011-110.03030—21:58
27A. LeeL011+160.810106719:28
77T. DeAngeloD000-210.02010—19:12
51E. HeinemanL112060.68400—18:14
10S. HolmstromR000-110.01010—17:43
44J. PageauC000010.152005817:24
11A. DuclairL101020.23000—16:34
24S. MayfieldD000+100.00012—16:15
49M. ShabanovR000-100.02000—15:04
29J. DrouinL000-100.020006013:44
34A. BoqvistD000-100.00102—12:35
64C. RitchieC000-110.25000011:57
53C. CizikasC011+100.002007511:08
16M. GatcombC000+110.09310008:59
32K. MacLeanC101+120.2910010008:57
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)22175.7733.02-1.9856:13

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).