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Jets at Islanders
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stanley's goal at 2:19 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.3, NYI 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 26, NYI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Stanley (1 G, 1 A), 2. Morgan Barron (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Stanley1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Barron1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Niederreiter1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG21021115526
NYINYI012212011235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Barron(2)
    C. Koepke (1), L. Stanley (1)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:35
  2. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(1)PPG
    G. Nyquist (1), J. Toews (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:48

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(1)
    T. DeAngelo (1)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:05
  2. WPG
    L. Stanley(1)
    T. Pearson (1), M. Barron (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:19
  3. WPG
    T. Pearson(1)
    N. Niederreiter (1)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:39
  4. NYI
    E. Heineman(1)
    J. Drouin (1), M. Schaefer (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:45

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(3)EN
    K. Connor (2)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    17:35

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:52NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 9:50NYICasey Cizikas · Interferencedrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 12:33WPGCole Koepke · Interferencedrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min
  • 15:58WPGColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

2nd

  • 7:56WPGLogan Stanley · Trippingdrawn by Max Shabanov2 min
  • 10:29WPGserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:38NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 19:55WPGMark Scheifele · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWPG goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Stanley, 2nd 2:19 — WPG 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.24J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.18M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.18J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.13S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05E. Heineman · Goal · xG 0.05M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.05E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04M. Shabanov · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 3.1 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYI
3.34 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG38%62%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
35
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
14
24
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000+330.08130—24:18
2D. DeMeloD000+200.00220—22:01
44J. MorrisseyD000010.05030—22:00
81K. ConnorL011+110.03000—20:28
19J. ToewsC011010.210207519:51
64L. StanleyD112+110.05312—18:22
55M. ScheifeleC101041.270025017:30
5L. SchennD000-110.03210—17:23
9A. IafalloL000000.0012010016:53
13G. VilardiC000+130.22010016:52
7V. NamestnikovC000-100.003006016:24
36M. BarronC112+220.222002715:42
62N. NiederreiterR112030.39010—13:41
14G. NyquistR011-120.23130—12:52
70T. PearsonL112+320.33010—11:39
6C. MillerD000-110.01012—10:57
90N. ChibrikovR000010.18120—10:21
45C. KoepkeL011+100.00012—02:50
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)35332.9433.08+1.0859:56

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).