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New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, MSGSN·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 19:52 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 29, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 A), 2. Dawson Mercer (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dougie Hamilton (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Hamilton2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD19110310529
MINMIN061918223

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:07

2nd period

  1. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:41
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:52

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:28
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    7:49
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    9:39
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.10Video
    5-2
    19:41

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:22MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

3rd

  • 0:17MINQuinn Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 16:06NJDLuke Glendening · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 19:25NJDBrenden Dillon · Chargingdrawn by Ben Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNJD goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 2nd 19:52 — NJD 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.20M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.20M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.19R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.17R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsMIN
2.55 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.75 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
23
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000+130.09000—22:38
71J. SiegenthalerD011010.02030—19:45
22B. PesceD000+120.09010—19:22
8J. KovacevicD000010.01220—19:19
7D. HamiltonD022+320.16020—19:08
86J. HughesC011+230.24010019:04
13N. HischierC022+320.500106818:13
28T. MeierR000+120.102101718:12
91D. MercerC112+210.31110016:36
12C. GlassC000010.132103316:31
16C. BrownR000010.04000—16:12
5B. DillonD011+320.01232—16:07
63J. BrattL202+240.41210—15:42
81A. GritsyukR000010.01100—15:19
18O. PalatL202+220.28410—14:36
33E. DadonovL000000.00110—11:22
14L. GlendeningC000000.001028210:20
47P. CotterL000010.0800010009:31
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)23212.9132.72+0.7259:47

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).