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Wild at Devils
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNOX, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brenden Dillon's goal at 6:08 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 31, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Nico Daws stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dawson Mercer (2 A), 2. Nico Daws (30 saves, .968), 3. Arseny Gritsyuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    D. Mercer2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Daws30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    A. Gritsyuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN08011112131
NJDNJD114111210435

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    P. Cotter(1)
    C. Brown (1), D. Mercer (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:21

2nd period

  1. NJD
    B. Dillon(2)
    D. Mercer (4), S. Nemec (4)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:08

3rd period

  1. NJD
    A. Gritsyuk(1)PPG
    T. Meier (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:53
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(5)
    J. Eriksson Ek (5), Z. Buium (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:37
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(4)EN
    J. Siegenthaler (1)
    wristxG 0.41Video
    1-4
    18:43

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:12MINMarcus Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

2nd

  • 11:21NJDBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 16:14NJDLuke Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

3rd

  • 4:49MINDavid Jiricek · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 15:52NJDLuke Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Danila Yurov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalMIN goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Brenden Dillon, 2nd 6:08 — NJD 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.41N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.16A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.16P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.13B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.12A. Gritsyuk · Goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.06D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Halonen · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD4 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNJD
2.51 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
8
20
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000010.03030—22:46
97K. KaprizovL000000.05010—21:35
12M. BoldyL101070.62010—21:29
8Z. BuiumD011020.04000—21:14
7B. FaberD000020.08120—20:39
46J. SpurgeonD000-200.00410—19:17
14J. Eriksson EkC011020.210206418:07
90M. JohanssonL000040.2900010017:14
38R. HartmanR000-240.570305316:57
5J. MiddletonD000-110.00110—16:20
23M. RossiC000-130.191205315:58
91V. TarasenkoR000-100.01000—14:44
18V. HinostrozaC000-200.11300014:09
55D.JiricekD000010.01002—13:01
17M. FolignoL000-200.00702—11:55
22D. YurovR000010.160103811:31
13Y. TreninC000020.06520011:08
19T. PitlickC000010.00310010:23
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)34313.9122.57-0.4359:29

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).