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Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV Prime, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 0:29 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 23, MTL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Nikita Tolopilo stopped 35 of 41 (.854), 1.8 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Alexandre Carrier (2 G), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ivan Demidov (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Carrier2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN172709323
MTLMTL113214314641

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.33win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:53
  2. MTL
    N. Dobson(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:13

2nd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:50
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:31
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:51
  4. VAN
    snapxG 0.24win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:42

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:29
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    1:07
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-6
    6:05

Penalties

VAN 2 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:09VANBrock Boeser · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 10:19MTLAlexandre Carrier · Cross checkingdrawn by Liam Ohgren2 min
  • 17:48MTLNoah Dobson · Hookingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalVAN goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 3rd 0:29 — MTL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.43O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.33P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.23O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.20A. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.19A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.14I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.13P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.12C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.12O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.12A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.10N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.09O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.07I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.05A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 4.2 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMTL
3.03 G
All situations
6 G4.2
2.43 G
Even strength
5 G4.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN32%68%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 4.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMTL
23
Shots on goal
41
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
26
18
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29M. PetterssonD000010.00230—22:45
6B. BoeserR000-230.59012—21:41
17F. HronekD011-130.08000—21:16
57T. MyersD000-120.10000—19:47
8C. GarlandR000-210.05000—18:33
5T. WillanderD000-210.10000—18:32
90V. ManciniD000000.00010—18:08
7P. JosephD011000.00110—17:15
64D. KampfC000-210.352005516:45
40E. PetterssonC101-140.650203816:41
94L. KarlssonC011-110.0710010015:34
74J. DeBruskL000-120.18010—14:51
91E. KaneL101+110.26000—14:33
63M. SassonC101+110.241006014:31
18D. O'ConnorL011+100.01000—13:40
54A. RätyC011010.114002912:25
92L. OhgrenL000000.00100—11:37
21N. HoglanderL000010.21000—11:22
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60N. Tolopilo(L)41356.8544.20-1.8060:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).