Skip to content

Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV CBC, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 8:19 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 24, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Kevin Lankinen stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ivan Demidov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0411436424
VANVAN111110110331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:42

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:43
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:03

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:50
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:19
  3. MTL
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:09
  4. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:13

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:54MTLArber Xhekaj · Holdingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

2nd

  • 5:55MTLJoseph Veleno · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min
  • 12:11MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 13:17VANLinus Karlsson · Interferencedrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 20:00VANAatu Räty · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 5:38VANEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 3rd 8:19 — MTL 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.18E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.16J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.12C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Bains · Missed · xG 0.09A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.01L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsVAN
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL54%46%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsVAN
24
Shots on goal
31
62%
Faceoffs
38%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD101+120.09030—27:23
48L. HutsonD011000.00120—23:52
53N. DobsonD000-110.04150—22:45
45A. CarrierD022020.09020—22:24
14N. SuzukiC101020.170007421:22
20J. SlafkovskýL112020.68210—19:11
13C. CaufieldR000000.17200—17:17
71J. EvansC000-120.011006316:50
17J. AndersonR000-100.2011010016:05
15A. NewhookC000+100.342002014:07
93I. DemidovR123010.26110—13:47
90J. VelenoC000020.342027512:53
47J. StrubleD000000.00100—12:45
11B. GallagherR000-120.01000—12:18
91O. KapanenC011030.320005711:59
76Z. BolducR011+110.0300010011:57
77K. DachC000+130.31220011:40
72A. XhekajD000010.02004—06:37
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)31283.9032.52-0.4860:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).