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Lightning at Flyers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV The Spot, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 0:33 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 26, PHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 21 of 25 (.840). Three stars: 1. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Christian Dvorak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Dvorak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1631416526
PHIPHI0511006121

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    P. Holmberg(7)
    Z. Girgensons (4), Y. Gourde (10)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:10

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(20)
    E. Cernak (5), B. Hagel (19)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:33
  2. TBL
    B. Point(11)PPG
    O. Bjorkstrand (15), J. Guentzel (27)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:29
  3. PHI
    C. Dvorak(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:40
  4. TBL
    B. Hagel(22)PPG
    D. Raddysh (26), N. Kucherov (44)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:29

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(23)EN
    D. Raddysh (27), A. Cirelli (16)
    wristxG 0.50Video
    5-1
    16:39

Penalties

TBL 32 PIM·PHI 46 PIM

2nd

  • 4:06PHIRodrigo Abols · Trippingdrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 4:29TBLOliver Bjorkstrand · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 4:29PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 7:39TBLErik Cernak · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 13:01TBLBrandon Hagel · Interferencedrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 16:18TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 16:18PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 18:50PHINick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 19:59PHINikita Grebenkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 19:59TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min

3rd

  • 3:46PHIRodrigo Abols · Boardingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
  • 3:46TBLNick Paul · Fightingdrawn by Rodrigo Abols5 min
  • 3:46PHIRodrigo Abols · Fightingdrawn by Nick Paul5 min
  • 3:46TBLMax Crozier · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin5 min
  • 3:46PHINikita Grebenkin · Fightingdrawn by Max Crozier5 min
  • 3:46PHINikita Grebenkin · Game misconduct10 min
  • 3:46TBLMax Crozier · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:40PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 10:36TBLJake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 10:36PHITravis Konecny · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:36PHITravis Konecny · Abuse of officials10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTBL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 0:33 — TBL 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.18T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.17O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.15R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.14M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.13R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.11M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.11M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.08T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.00E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPHI
4.44 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.42 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL71%29%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
21
35%
Faceoffs
65%
2/4
Power play
0/2
32
Penalty minutes
46
10
Hits
32
11
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD022+130.30110—25:17
90J. MoserD000+200.00100—23:00
51C. D'AstousD000010.06212—19:31
38B. HagelL112+230.35002—19:21
81E. CernakD011+110.04252—19:16
86N. KucherovR112061.24000—18:40
59J. GuentzelC112010.310025017:43
37Y. GourdeC011+100.000124416:47
22O. BjorkstrandR011010.15102—15:39
28Z. GirgensonsC011+100.07000015:16
71A. CirelliC011+210.410202015:09
29P. HolmbergR101+110.35100—14:59
67D. CarlileD000010.02110—14:45
24M. CrozierD000010.000015—13:54
17D. JamesC000000.001004013:29
20N. PaulL000000.080056711:32
93G. GoncalvesC000010.15000010:42
21B. PointC101050.85000005:47
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)21201.9522.54+1.5459:13

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).