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Lightning at Flyers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV The Spot, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 13:37 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 23, PHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Samuel Ersson stopped 16 of 23 (.696), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 2 A), 2. Brayden Point (3 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (18 saves, .900).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy18 saves, .900

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL271848723
PHIPHI180814220

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(21)
    B. Point (17)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:49
  2. PHI
    G. Hathaway(1)
    N. Juulsen (5), R. Abols (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:15
  3. TBL
    N. Kucherov(22)
    B. Point (18), C. D'Astous (12)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:05

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(5)
    C. D'Astous (13), A. Cirelli (14)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:37

3rd period

  1. TBL
    G. Goncalves(5)
    N. Kucherov (42), D. Raddysh (25)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:03
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(21)
    J. Guentzel (26), A. Cirelli (15)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    3:37
  3. PHI
    O. Tippett(14)PPG
    C. Dvorak (19)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    4:45
  4. TBL
    Y. Gourde(6)
    Z. Girgensons (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    9:00
  5. TBL
    G. Goncalves(6)
    N. Kucherov (43), B. Point (19)
    snapxG 0.12Video
    7-2
    11:00

Penalties

TBL 9 PIM·PHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 8:00PHIGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Declan Carlile5 min
  • 8:00TBLDeclan Carlile · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 13:13TBLBrandon Hagel · Interferencedrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 18:55PHICam York · Cross checkingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

3rd

  • 4:13TBLGage Goncalves · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 12:53PHIGarnet Hathaway · High stickingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTBL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 2nd 13:37 — TBL 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.19S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.18C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.17M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.15C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.14M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.12C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.09N. Grebenkin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.08R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.08E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.05N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPHI
3.17 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.57 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL69%31%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
20
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
18
Hits
32
6
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD011+410.05200—21:57
90J. MoserD000+320.07000—21:29
51C. D'AstousD022+310.09100—20:28
24M. CrozierD000020.03300—18:47
81E. CernakD000+200.00220—18:17
59J. GuentzelC011+210.17000017:41
20N. PaulL101+120.4020010017:02
37Y. GourdeC101020.202103316:19
38B. HagelL101+120.29002—16:10
67D. CarlileD000020.12115—15:39
29P. HolmbergR000030.28100—15:28
71A. CirelliC022+200.230106215:24
93G. GoncalvesC202+420.39102015:05
86N. KucherovR224+420.35010—14:24
22O. BjorkstrandR000000.07100—14:04
21B. PointC033+400.170008013:35
28Z. GirgensonsC011010.21100013:28
17D. JamesC000000.001006312:11
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)20182.9002.02+0.0260:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).