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Blue Jackets at Golden Knights
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV FDSNOH, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-3. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Eichel's goal at 13:07 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were CBJ 25, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.3 goals below expected; Akira Schmid stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G, 2 A), 2. Reilly Smith (2 G), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ2806111325
VGKVGK1738111526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:24
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:41
  3. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:20

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Marner (35), M. Stone (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:19
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:07
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(14)PPG
    T. Hertl (17), J. Eichel (32)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:44

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:28
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-5
    16:14

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:04VGKKeegan Kolesar · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min

2nd

  • 18:28CBJMathieu Olivier · Hookingdrawn by Braeden Bowman2 min

3rd

  • 2:39CBJBrendan Gaunce · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCBJ goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Eichel, 2nd 13:07 — VGK 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.21M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.20I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.19T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.13B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.06B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsVGK
3.13 G
All situations
5 G2.7
2.53 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ55%45%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsVGK
25
Shots on goal
26
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
20
18
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011+110.14010—28:00
9I. ProvorovD011050.22020—24:13
78D. SeversonD000-120.99010—23:21
86K. MarchenkoR101+140.32020—19:35
5D. MateychukD000000.00010—19:14
19A. FantilliC011000.034005918:12
38B. JennerC112030.39300017:57
3C. CoyleC000-110.092006417:17
23S. MonahanC022+110.171009117:11
91K. JohnsonC101-130.36120016:41
10D. VoronkovL000010.08210—16:29
4C. SillingerC000-110.0710010013:57
24M. OlivierR000-100.07502—13:40
15D. FabbroD000-110.01100—12:58
6E. ZamulaD000-100.00010—11:12
16B. GaunceC000-120.092024611:06
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.05610—10:26
82M. PyyhtiaL000000.04000—09:27
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)26215.8082.75-2.2556:48

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).