Vegas Golden Knights at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden McNabb's goal at 13:13 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.0, CBJ 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 26, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Jet Greaves stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (3 A), 2. Brayden McNabb (1 G), 3. Charlie Coyle (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-17:02
2nd period
1-10:41
3rd period
1-24:49
2-25:52
3-213:13
Penalties
1st
- 10:49
Brandon Saad · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
- 15:02
Dmitri Voronkov · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
2nd
- 0:16
Damon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
- 2:31
Brendan Smith · Illegal check to headdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
- 8:14
Brett Howden · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
3rd
- 17:01
Brayden McNabb · High sticking double minordrawn by Adam Fantilli4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brayden McNabb, 3rd 13:13 — 48% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.03 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 1.22 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.98
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 15
- Hits
- 15
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 14
- Giveaways
- 16
- 5
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
VGK leads 2-0
3@
2this game
3@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
