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Kings at Avalanche
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FDSNW, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 13:21 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 25, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Necas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01015110225
COLCOL1821028526

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Drury(6)
    R. Colton (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:24

2nd period

  1. LAK
    C. Perry(8)PPG
    K. Fiala (12), J. Edmundson (12)
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:15
  2. COL
    M. Necas(19)
    G. Landeskog (14), N. MacKinnon (34)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:21
  3. COL
    B. Nelson(15)
    J. Kiviranta (3), S. Girard (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:30

3rd period

  1. LAK
    J. Armia(9)SHG
    A. Kempe (19)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:58
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(32)EN
    A. Lehkonen (17)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:23
  3. COL
    C. Makar(12)
    V. Nichushkin (15), B. Nelson (13)
    snapxG 0.23Video
    2-5
    19:15

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:43LAKAndrei Kuzmenko · Interferencedrawn by Gavin Brindley2 min

2nd

  • 3:18COLParker Kelly · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Helenius2 min
  • 7:54LAKBrian Dumoulin · Interferencedrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 9:58COLRoss Colton · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 14:10LAKBrandt Clarke · Cross checkingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

3rd

  • 3:44LAKBrandt Clarke · Trippingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 9:00COLJack Drury · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 13:21 — COL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.56M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.24C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.23C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.22G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.10R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.00V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
2.02 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.20 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK35%65%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-210.05100—23:17
92B. ClarkeD000-200.02214—19:28
55Q. ByfieldR000-220.181004219:14
9A. KempeR011050.284205018:36
2B. DumoulinD000010.01112—18:28
6J. EdmundsonD011-200.00100—18:01
22K. FialaL011-230.28000—17:54
14A. LaferriereR000-130.186205017:36
5C. CeciD000000.05010—17:01
11A. KopitarC000-110.080006916:33
37W. FoegeleL000-130.15400—15:50
96A. KuzmenkoL000-210.05002—15:46
44M. AndersonD000-110.01100—15:30
12T. MooreL000-110.042205014:20
40J. ArmiaR101-110.05210—13:59
10C. PerryR101-210.27000—13:49
15A. TurcotteC000-210.251103311:51
79S. HeleniusC000000.003006705:36
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)25214.8402.79-1.2159:11

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).