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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Malinski's goal at 7:00 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 23, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 G), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Necas2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0731115423
LAKLAK0605114125

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:48
  2. COL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:00
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:42

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.07Video
    4-0
    10:43
  2. LAK
    K. Fiala(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.07Video
    4-1
    15:06

Penalties

COL 13 PIM·LAK 17 PIM

1st

  • 18:27LAKJeff Malott · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 18:27COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Jeff Malott5 min
  • 18:27LAKJeff Malott · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min

2nd

  • 10:36LAKJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Gavin Brindley2 min
  • 19:18LAKJoel Edmundson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:54COLBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 4:34COLCale Makar · Hookingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 6:54LAKWarren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 10:38LAKKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 13:18COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 14:36COLJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 17:41LAKBrandt Clarke · Cross checkingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Malinski, 2nd 7:00 — COL 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.30Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.15A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.12J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.11J. Malott · Missed · xG 0.10B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.09D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.09P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
1.84 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.33 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL43%57%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
23
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/6
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
33
21
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62A. LehkonenL112+220.22110—23:29
11B. NelsonC011020.181202423:15
8C. MakarD022+110.17112—23:07
88M. NecasC202+230.2821010021:12
7D. ToewsD000+200.01010—20:59
29N. MacKinnonC022+220.350124720:47
84B. BurnsD000+130.05032—20:10
49S. GirardD000010.03230—18:49
42J. MansonD000+100.00617—17:38
13V. NichushkinR000030.18110—14:41
70S. MalinskiD101+110.01010—13:13
18J. DruryC000000.000105011:52
95V. OlofssonL000010.06100—11:23
20R. ColtonC000010.062005011:17
92G. LandeskogL000010.121007111:12
17P. KellyC000+100.003405010:58
94J. KivirantaL000+110.0420010010:27
54G. BrindleyC000+110.012003307:50
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)25241.9602.16+1.1659:53

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).