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Mammoth at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸1
FinalTV Utah16, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 1-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Samuel Girard's goal at 7:57 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 32, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Samuel Girard (1 G), 3. Vitek Vanecek (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Girard1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    V. Vanecek25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA09011012032
COLCOL01211004126

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. COL
    S. Girard(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:57

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:04UTAJJ Peterka · Interferencedrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 16:36COLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 4:37COLDevon Toews · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 9:41COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 12:39UTADylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalUTA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Samuel Girard, 2nd 7:57 — COL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.22V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.19M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.18V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCOL
2.30 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA44%56%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
26
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-120.01260—22:11
6J. MarinoD000000.00110—21:23
50S. DurziD000-120.06110—20:35
88N. SchmidtD000000.00130—20:26
67L. CrouseL000030.311106720:11
11D. GuentherR000050.440025020:05
9C. KellerR000-150.33100—20:04
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.110005819:01
27B. HaytonC000010.041105517:11
77J. PeterkaR000-120.18102—17:08
28I. ColeD000000.03010—15:44
19D. ButL000020.250005014:55
53M. CarconeL000020.12110—14:36
22J. McBainC000040.385004313:38
82K. StenlundC000000.000105013:05
57N. DeSimoneD000000.00000—11:37
15A. KerfootC000020.010107509:47
38L. O'BrienC000000.00120006:41
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)26251.9622.54+1.5457:42

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).